Table 1. Comparison of Patient Characteristics.

From: Factors Related to Mortality in Patients with COVID-19 during the Early Phase of the Pandemic in Japan: An Observational Study Using the Osaka Prefectural Novel Coronavirus Response Status Management System

All Death (n = 297) Alive (n = 14,567) P valuea
(N = 14,864) n (%) n (%)
Sex
 Male 8,207 184 (2.2) 8,023 (97.8)
 Female 6,657 113 (1.7) 6,544 (98.3) 0.018
Age (years)
 0-9 329 0 (0) 329 (100)
 10-19 911 0 (0) 911 (100)
 20-29 4,248 0 (0) 4,248 (100)
 30-39 2,281 0 (0) 2,281 (100)
 40-49 2,029 3 (0.2) 2,026 (99.9)
 50-59 1,857 7 (0.4) 1,850 (99.6)
 60-69 1,143 25 (2.2) 1,118 (97.8)
 70-79 1,066 83 (7.8) 983 (92.2)
 80-89 751 125 (16.6) 626 (83.4)
 90-99 239 52 (21.8) 187 (78.2)
 100- 10 2 (20.0) 8 (80.0) <0.0001
 0-69 12,798 35 (0.3) 12,763 (99.7)
 70-79 1,066 3 (7.8) 983 (92.2)
 80- 1,000 179 (17.9) 821 (82.1) <0.0001
Underlying diseases
 No 12,825 164 (1.3) 12,661 (98.7)
 Yes 2,039 133 (6.5) 1,906 (93.5) <0.0001
  Certain infectious and parasitic diseases
   No 14,845 297 (2.0) 14,548 (98.0)
   Yes 19 0 0 19 (100) 1.000
  Neoplasms
   No 14,645 274 (1.9) 14,371 (98.1)
   Yes 219 23 (10.5) 196 (89.5) <0.0001
  Diseases of the blood and blood-forming organs and certain disorders involving the immune mechanism
   No 14,756 286 (1.9) 14,470 (98.1)
   Yes 108 11 (10.2) 97 (89.8) <0.0001
  Endocrine, nutritional, and metabolic diseases
   No 14,334 240 (1.7) 14,094 (98.3)
   Yes 530 57 (10.8) 473 (89.3) <0.0001
  Mental and behavioral disorders
   No 14,842 295 (2.0) 14,547 (98.0)
   Yes 22 2 (9.1) 20 (90.9) 0.071
  Diseases of the nervous system
   No 14,820 294 (2.0) 14,526 (98.0)
   Yes 44 3 (6.8) 41 (93.2) 0.057
  Diseases of the circulatory system
   No 14,370 248 (1.7) 14,122 (98.3)
   Yes 494 49 (9.9) 445 (90.1) <0.0001
  Diseases of the respiratory system
   No 14,326 265 (1.9) 14,061 (98.2)
   Yes 538 32 (6.0) 506 (94.1) <0.0001
  Diseases of the digestive system
   No 14,763 294 (2.0) 14,469 (98.0)
   Yes 101 3 (3.0) 98 (97.0) 0.458
  Diseases of the skin and subcutaneous tissue
   No 14,861 296 (2.0) 14,565 (98.0)
   Yes 3 1 (33.3) 2 (66.7) 0.059
  Diseases of the musculoskeletal system and connective tissue
   No 14,843 294 (2.0) 14,549 (98.0)
   Yes 21 3 (14.3) 18 (85.7) 0.008
  Diseases of the genitourinary system
   No 14,716 280 (1.9) 14,436 (98.1)
   Yes 148 17 (11.5) 131 (88.5) <0.0001
  Congenital malformations, deformations, and chromosomal abnormalities
   No 14,859 296 (2.0) 14,563 (98.0)
   Yes 5 1 (20.0) 4 (80.0) 0.096
  Symptoms, signs, and abnormal clinical and laboratory findings, not elsewhere classified
   No 14,863 297 (2.0) 14,566 (98.0)
   Yes 1 0 (0.0) 1 (100.0) 1.000
  Injury, poisoning, and certain other consequences of external causes
   No 14,859 295 (2.0) 14,564 (98.0)
   Yes 5 2 (40.0) 3 (60.0) 0.004
Time period
 First surge (Jan 29-Jun 13, 2020) 1,762 86 (4.9) 1,676 (95.1)
 Second surge (Jun 14-Oct 9, 2020) 8,744 136 (1.6) 8,608 (98.4)
 Third surge (Oct 10 to Dec 24, 2020) 4,358 75 (1.7) 4,283 (98.3) <0.0001
Time from onset to health status confirmation (days)
 Median (interquartile range) 11 (10-16) 16 (11-26) 11 (10-16) <0.0001
 Missing 1286b 30c 1256d
Table 2. Odds Ratios of Each Factor for Death.

From: Factors Related to Mortality in Patients with COVID-19 during the Early Phase of the Pandemic in Japan: An Observational Study Using the Osaka Prefectural Novel Coronavirus Response Status Management System

Crude OR (95%CI) P value Adjusted ORa (95%CI) P value
Sex
 Male 1.33 (1.05-1.68) 0.019 2.00 (1.54-2.60) <0.001
 Female 1 1
Age (years)
 0-69 1 1
 70-79 30.8 (20.6-45.9) <0.001 25.4 (16.8-38.2) <0.001
 80- 79.5 (55.0-115) <0.001 78.1 (53.3-114) <0.001
Trend P < 0.001 Trend P < 0.001
Underlying diseases
 No 1 1
 Yes 5.39 (4.26-6.81) <0.001 1.74 (1.34-2.27) <0.001
Time period
 First surge (Jan 29-Jun 13, 2020) 1 1
 Second surge (Jun 14-Oct 9, 2020) 0.31 (0.23-0.41) <0.001 0.42 (0.31-0.57) <0.001
 Third surge (Oct 10-Dec 24, 2020) 0.34 (0.25-0.47) <0.001 0.41 (0.29-0.58) <0.001
Table 3. Odds Ratio of Underlying Diseases for Death.

From: Factors Related to Mortality in Patients with COVID-19 during the Early Phase of the Pandemic in Japan: An Observational Study Using the Osaka Prefectural Novel Coronavirus Response Status Management System

Crude OR (95%CI) P value Adjusted ORa (95%CI) P value
Neoplasms
 No 1 1
 Yes 6.16 (3.93-9.64) <0.001 1.26 (0.77-2.04) 0.359
Diseases of the blood and blood-forming organs and certain disorders involving the immune mechanism
 No 1 1
 Yes 5.74 (3.05-10.8) <0.001 2.98 (1.44-6.14) 0.003
Endocrine, nutritional, and metabolic diseases
 No 1 1
 Yes 7.08 (5.23-9.58) <0.001 1.95 (1.39-2.75) <0.001
Mental and behavioral disorders
 No 1 1
 Yes 4.93 (1.15-21.2) 0.032 1.41 (0.29-6.85) 0.671
Diseases of the nervous system
 No 1 1
 Yes 3.62 (1.11-11.7) 0.033 1.47 (0.42-5.20) 0.548
Diseases of the circulatory system
 No 1 1
 Yes 6.27 (4.55-8.64) <0.001 1.30 (0.92-1.85) 0.143
Diseases of the respiratory system
 No 1 1
 Yes 3.36 (2.30-4.90) <0.001 1.67 (1.09-2.55) 0.018
Diseases of the digestive system
 No 1 1
 Yes 1.51 (0.48-4.78) 0.487 0.53 (0.16-1.79) 0.310
Diseases of the skin and subcutaneous tissue
 No 1 1
 Yes 24.6 (2.23-272) 0.009 5.43 (0.35-85.2) 0.228
Diseases of the musculoskeletal system and connective tissue
 No 1 1
 Yes 8.25 (2.42-28.2) 0.001 4.36 (0.98-19.4) 0.054
Diseases of the genitourinary system
 No 1 1
 Yes 6.69 (3.98-11.2) <0.001 1.58 (0.88-2.84) 0.124
Table 4. Adjusted Odds Ratios of Each Factor for Death by Time Period.

From: Factors Related to Mortality in Patients with COVID-19 during the Early Phase of the Pandemic in Japan: An Observational Study Using the Osaka Prefectural Novel Coronavirus Response Status Management System

First surge (Jan 29-Jun 13, 2020) Second surge (Jun 14-Oct 9, 2020) Third surge (Oct 10-Dec 24, 2020)
Death / Total participants ORa (95%CI) Death / Total participants ORa (95%CI) Death / Total participants ORa (95%CI)
(n = 86) (n = 1,762) (n = 136) (n = 8,744) (n = 75) (n = 4,358)
Sex
 Male 53 / 963 1.23 (0.74-2.04) 89 / 4,930 2.67 (1.81-3.93) 42 / 2,314 1.91 (1.16-3.16)
 Female 33 / 799 1 47 / 3,814 1 33 / 2,044 1
Age (years)
 0-69 14 / 1,446 1 17 / 7,663 1 4 / 3,689 1
 70-79 29 / 168 13.3 (6.67-26.6) 29 / 539 24.8 (13.4-45.9) 25 / 359 61.8 (21.2-180)
 80- 43 / 148 26.3 (13.5-51.3) 90 / 542 105 (61.2-182) 46 / 310 171 (60.3-484)
Trend P<0.001 Trend P < 0.001 Trend P < 0.001
Underlying diseases
 No 25 / 1,369 1 91 / 7,657 1 48 / 3,799 1
 Yes 61 / 393 3.60 (2.11-6.15) 45 / 1,087 1.24 (0.84-1.85) 27 / 559 1.72 (1.03-2.88)
Table 5. Odds Ratios of Underlying Disease for Death by Time Period.

From: Factors Related to Mortality in Patients with COVID-19 during the Early Phase of the Pandemic in Japan: An Observational Study Using the Osaka Prefectural Novel Coronavirus Response Status Management System

First surge (Jan 29-Jun 13, 2020) Second surge (Jun 14-Oct 9, 2020) Third surge (Oct 10-Dec 24, 2020)
Death / Total participants ORa (95%CI) Death / Total participants ORa (95%CI) Death / Total participants ORa (95%CI)
(n = 86) (n = 1,762) (n = 136) (n = 8,744) (n = 75) (n = 4,358)
Neoplasms
 No 78 / 1,718 1 126 / 8,647 1 70 / 4,280 1
 Yes 8 / 44 1.48 (0.61-3.58) 10 / 97 1.27 (0.61-2.62) 5 / 78 1.04 (0.39-2.76)
Diseases of the blood and blood-forming organs and certain disorders involving the immune mechanism
 No 82 / 1,747 1 133 / 8,691 1 71 / 4,318 1
 Yes 4 / 15 6.93 (1.48-32.4) 3 / 53 1.58 (0.45-5.60) 4 / 40 3.86 (1.16-12.8)
Endocrine, nutritional, and metabolic diseases
 No 55 / 1,619 1 116 / 8,516 1 69 / 4,199 1
 Yes 31 / 143 3.34 (1.93-5.77) 20 / 228 1.77 (1.03-3.06) 6 / 159 0.86 (0.36-2.10)
Mental and behavioral disorders
 No 86 / 1,756 NA 134 / 8,730 1 75 / 4,356 NA
 Yes 0 / 6 2 / 14 1.78 (0.34-9.22) 0 / 2
Diseases of the nervous system
 No 86 / 1,753 NA 133 / 8,716 1 75 / 4,351 NA
 Yes 0 / 9 3 / 28 1.87 (0.49-7.12) 0 / 7
Diseases of the circulatory system
 No 64 / 1,646 1 122 / 8,525 1 62 / 4,199 1
 Yes 22 / 116 1.58 (0.88-2.84) 14 / 219 0.96 (0.53-1.76) 13 / 159 1.60 (0.83-3.09)
Diseases of the respiratory system
 No 77 / 1,661 1 123 / 8,511 1 65 / 4,154 1
 Yes 9 / 101 1.24 (0.55-2.79) 13 / 233 1.65 (0.87-3.16) 10 / 204 2.38 (1.11-5.06)
Diseases of the digestive system
 No 85 / 1,748 1 134 / 8,699 1 75 / 4,316 NA
 Yes 1 / 14 0.90 (0.10-8.50) 2 / 45 0.70 (0.16-3.16) 0 / 42
Diseases of the skin and subcutaneous tissue
 No 85 / 1,760 NA 136 / 8,743 NA 75 / 4,358 NA
 Yes 1 / 2 0 / 1 0 / 0
Diseases of the musculoskeletal system and connective tissue
 No 84 / 1,748 1 136 / 8,739 NA 74 / 4,356 NA
 Yes 2 / 14 2.62 (0.46-14.8) 0 / 5 1 2
Diseases of the genitourinary system
 No 76 / 1,727 1 133 / 8,675 1 71 / 4,314 1
 Yes 10 / 35 4.82 (1.81-12.8) 3 / 69 0.56 (0.16-1.91) 4 / 44 1.42 (0.46-4.36)
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